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Will the health & social care levy hit the mark?

As you are by now probably aware, Parliament yesterday voted in favour of the Government’s Health and Social Care motion, as announced on 7th September.

The headlines from the proposal are that it will deliver a cap on care costs of £86,000, with significant increases in the lower and upper Financial Assessment bandings – up from £14,250 and £23,250 to £20,000 and £100,000 respectively.  It will also provide a funding injection to the NHS and Social Care, with the NHS initially being allocated the bulk of the additional funding for continued Coronavirus response, but with plans for Social Care to take a greater share of this in future years.  The reform package also includes other measures, such as a research and innovation fund, as well as new focusses on prevention.

This would all be funded by a Health and Social Care Levy, effectively an increase in National Insurance contributions for employers and employees, hypothecated for the funding of Health and Social Care, as well as an increase in Dividend Tax.  These tax increases will raise an estimated £12bn a year and are planned to come into place from April 2022.

The Small print

While any additional funding in any of health and social care is clearly welcome, there are some important issues that need consideration:

The first is that the care cap only applies to the cost of care – it does not cover the living expenses in a care home, such as meals – meaning that this may not be quite allay the fears of those who see this as a way to avoid selling assets, such as property to pay for care fees which may be around £1000 per month.  It also does not cover any cost of care spent prior to October 2023.

Secondly, the cap on care costs does little to address geographical inequalities – the average house prices in different postcode areas range from £1,122,000 for the W postcode area in London, to £425,000 in the HP postcode area in the southeast, while the DN postcode in Yorkshire is £152,500

Thirdly, while the funding plan attempts to address generational inequalities by applying the new levy to retirement-age working people (which is different from general national insurance contributions) – however, unlike a rise in income tax, it does not add additional charges to those retired people who have significant pension income and are likely to be able to afford to pay more to help in an exercise of pooling risk to reduce the possibility of any one person through no fault of their own suffering from catastrophic care costs.  Therefore, in reality the changes are likely to be seen as the younger, employed, demographic subsidising older, wealthier people.

As the country attempts to get back on its feet following the pandemic, is this the right time to be increasing the burden on business, both in terms of shareholder dividends as well as increased employer contributions?

Is it enough?

Of course these are political decisions around taxation and spending which have already been decided – however, there are other details will need to be dealt with via a consultation, proposed to start in October 2021, with the final charging reforms coming into place from October 2023.

The key question to ask is whether the proposed allocation of £5.4bn over three years to social care of that £12bn is enough, and whether that will achieve genuine transformation of social care.  Indeed the Health Foundation has calculated that over the three years from 2022, the funding gap between existing adult social care spending power to be able to meet upcoming demand, an extra £5.9bn would be required.

Clearly, a direct result of the increases in the financial assessment lower and upper limits, as well as the cap on total individual costs will pass additional cost on to local authorities.  However, there are other hidden costs – it is likely that Care Providers will need to increase their prices to pay for the additional NI contributions and also potentially for pay increases for staff to improve retention rates – this means that buying care may cost more.

Another point in the proposed legislation will require local authorities to arrange care on behalf of self-funders at their rates, to try and bring an end to private residents paying more than local authority funded residents for the same service.  This could mean that again, the cost of care provision to the local authorities may have to rise, if previously the local authority rate had been subsidised by higher costs to private residents.

A key issue for local authorities is how the care cap will be managed.  As the cap only covers the cost of services that a local authority was willing to pay for, is there going to need to be some assessment of Care Act eligibility and review for self-funders?  Or are local authorities simply going to apply averaged rates against the point someone claims that to be using care services?  How will the costs be tracked both in terms of evidencing and recording spend as well as in terms of portability?  The Care Cap concept isn’t radically different from the one previously proposed and dropped by the Government, partly owing to the cost and complexity of its implementation, and no answers to this have been forthcoming.  Therefore, it appears that the Government’s plan appears to raise more questions than it answers.

Will it work?

The conclusion that I would come to is similar to that drawn by other commentators and experts in the field - namely that for social care this is not a transformational package.  It will not resolve any of the issues relating to market failure or provide for better pay and conditions for care staff or family carers.  It will not address lack of resources and ability to innovate in local government.  Most importantly, it does not attempt to progress moves to community-based care and personalisation to achieve better outcomes for people of all ages in need or care and support.

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Property prices based on recent sales using data from https://propertyheatmap.uk

Social Care Funding Gap analysis – The Health Foundation 2021: https://www.health.org.uk/news-and-comment/charts-and-infographics/REAL-social-care-funding-gap

Further reading:

By Chris Sweeney, Adult Social Care Lead, Liquidlogic.

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